Gonzaga is set to play their final ranked opponent of the out of conference portion of their schedule on Saturday when they take on No. 16 Virginia. The Bulldogs have already bested three ranked teams this season including a 99-88 win over No. 3 Iowa last week.
Virginia enters the game having played just five games this season after having a handful of games cancelled earlier this month due to COVID-19 protocols.
The Bulldogs are set as 6.5-point favorites at FanDuel with the total set at 139.5
Gonzaga’s Offensive Prowess
The strength of the Bulldogs comes from their offense. They rank 2nd in the country in points per game, averaging 94.7. They also rank 2nd in FG percentage, shooting 55.1 percent from the field. Their offense has been near unstoppable, even being able to outscore No. 3 ranked Iowa last week who are 1st in the country in points per game.
To further pad their resume of offensive prowess, they rank 3rd in Floor percent, scoring at least one point on 56.8 percent of their possessions. Their lowest scoring game of the season came against No. 11 West Virginia when they put up a “measly” 87 points. They’ve surpassed 90 points in each of their other five games.
Virginia’s Defensive Strength
If there’s any team that can slow down Gonzaga’s offense, it might just be the Virginia Cavaliers. The defending national champions have been known for their defensive abilities since Tony Bennet took over as the team’s head coach. So far this season they’re allowing the 4th fewest points per game at 54. They’re also 12th in the country in opponent shooting percentage, keeping teams to a FG percentage of just 36.3.
One knock against the Cavaliers this season is a lack of competition. Their only scheduled ranked opponent this season was Michigan State, but the game was cancelled due to COVID-19 protocols. Their only loss this season came to San Francisco, who beat them outright despite being set as a 15.5-point underdogs.
These Teams Also Share Some Similarities
Despite being complete opposites as far as offensive and defensive numbers, Gonzaga and Virginia also have some similarities. Both teams have been great at rebounding so far this season, ranking 25th and 37th in rebounding percentage.
Neither team has found themselves in foul trouble either. They rank 12th and 32nd in fouls per defensive play. They also have similar numbers when shooting from beyond the arc. Virginia has been shooting 36.4 percent from 3-point land and Gonzaga isn’t far behind them with a 3-point FG percentage of 34.2.
Betting Advice for Gonzaga vs Virginia
While deciding between a top tier offensive team and a top tier defensive team may seem like a tough call, the Bulldogs have had a much tougher schedule to-date. They have two double-digit wins against opponents who are ranked in the top ten and haven’t been in danger of losing a game yet this season.
Despite their strong defensive play, Virginia has yet to face a challenging opponent and they have a loss on their record against an unranked San Francisco team. You have to trust the Bulldogs and their offense to get the job done until it’s proven that there’s a team out there that can slow them down.
Best bet: Gonzaga -6.5
The total might be quite a bit more difficult to make the call on with it set at 139.5. Not only is it tough to tell if the offenses or the defenses will shine, but each team’s pace of play is also on opposite sides of the spectrum. The Bulldogs rank 11th in total shots per game and 7th in possessions per game while the Cavaliers are 280th in shots per game and 330th in possessions per game, which is the fewest in the entire country.
It may seem like the obvious wager to make, but sticking to betting on the number 1 ranked team in the country is the smart move to make.