After five months and 284 games, there is only one game remaining in the 2021 NFL season. Super Bowl Sunday is here, and the matchup at SoFi Stadium will see the NFC champion Los Angeles Rams take on the AFC champion Cincinnati Bengals.
Throughout the NFL season, Betting News has provided odds, picks, and other important betting information for every NFL matchup, along with all of the written content that the Betting News team has done week in, week out.
In addition to aggregated picks, we also provide score predictions from our trusted sports betting industry sources.
How does that information stack up for the Super Bowl matchup?
Super Bowl Score Predictions (as of Sunday, February 13, 2022)
Who Will Win the Super Bowl?
Before we go any further, we should point out that the Dunkel Index Super Bowl moneyline, spread, and score predictions are actually in favor of the Rams. Technology isn’t perfect, so things can come out a little funny sometimes.
So, all of the listed Super Bowl predictions actually back the favored Rams to defeat the Bengals. However, only the Dunkel Index favors the Rams to cover the Super Bowl spread, which has now moved to Rams -4.5 as of two hours before kickoff.
For what it’s worth, that Rams-Bengals matchup prediction lines up the most with recent trends with regards to the score margin. The closest margin in any of the past six Super Bowls is six points. That was in the New England Patriots’ 34-28 overtime win over the Atlanta Falcons five years ago.
While the Rams are the designated away team for the Super Bowl, since the game is in their home stadium, how do home and away spread trends line up for each team this season?
The Rams covered the spread in five of their ten true home games this season, so their spread success rate at SoFi Stadium is pretty unspectacular. Meanwhile, the Bengals posted an 8-2 ATS mark in true road games. Only the Dallas Cowboys (8-1, 89 percent) had a better ATS win percentage on the road this season.
Will the Game Go Over or Under?
Of our listed sources, two (Sports Betting Dime and Wunderdog) are predicting the Rams-Bengals matchup to go over the over/under of 48.5.
Each of the past three Super Bowls has gone under, including the Rams’ most recent appearance three years ago. In that matchup, the Patriots and Rams combined for only 16 points in New England’s 13-3 win.
Is it safe to assume that we won’t have a repeat of the lowest-scoring Super Bowl in history? But will the game go over?
As mentioned in our Super Bowl over/under article, this will be the 19th time in Super Bowl history that the over/under has been between 45 and 49. In the previous 18 instances, the over hit 11 times, a success rate of 61 percent.
Over the course of Super Bowl history, it has been rare to see four or more consecutive overs or unders. There have been only two such under streaks, while there has been only one such under streak.
The split of over/under predictions lines up with the 2021 NFL season trends for the Rams and Bengals. In the Rams’ 20 games this season, the over has hit ten times. In the Bengals’ 20 games this season, the over has hit nine times.
So, with the Super Bowl location in mind, how do home and away over/under trends line up for each team this season? The under hit in six of the Rams’ ten true home games this season, a hit rate of 60 percent. On the other side, the under hit in seven of the Bengals’ ten true road games this season.
